At the end of Vietnam the brass was told "Do More With Less" and they tried their best. It all ended up with massive air strikes dropping thousands of dumb bombs at a time with no real plan to help the South Vietnamese government provide stability.
Today the timeline for "withdrawal by 2014" was made quite apparent. Battlespace owners are getting "more battlespace" and mentors are getting more Afghan units to mentor. Everybody is getting more of all the work to do. Plans for getting the Afghan National Security Forces to take over security have been prioritized and made abundantly clear.
This is like my last tour in Iraq all over again. My Battalion took the largest chunk of the Brigade battle space, and by the end of it had taken over the battle space for two other battalions. Well, with 10,000 soldiers leaving Afghanistan by the end of the year means everyone has to take a bigger bite out of the shit sandwich. 23,000 by the end of next year. This is all public knowledge, nothing secret about our well published withdrawl timeline...
I have my doubts about the ability of Afghanistan to ever emerge as a stable nation state given the culture of corruption, infighting, tribalism, and constant warfare endemic to this place. The good thing about this generation is that when I go home I won't be spit on like my Vietnam era brothers.
I wonder if those same Vietnam vets felt the same way about the Paris "peace agreements" that I do about the "talks with the Taliban." But the sad truth is that there are some folks who truly believe that you can take a Communist or Terrorist at their word. I can't predict the future, so I do not know how long Afghanistan will stand after US withdrawl. But if history is any judge, about 2 years after we stop giving them air support.